If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
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If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Last updated: Nov 22, 2025 14:58
This market concerns Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?. Current market sentiment suggests Before 2050 is less likely with a 15.0% probability.
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
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Markets in the Other category have shown varied results historically. This specific event has 1,246 in trading volume.
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