Middle East MonitorNov 24, 2025
China to reopen embassy in Damascus in early 2026
China to reopen embassy in Damascus in early 2026 Middle East Monitor
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Market Performance
activeOther
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Total Volume
$58.59K
Liquidity
$1.12K
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Current Odds
Yes
2.9%
▲0.4% (24h)
Volume
$29.29K
Best Bid
1.0¢
Best Ask
4.7¢
No
97.2%
▲0.4% (24h)
Volume
$29.29K
Price History
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?
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Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2025
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreResolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Russia for any length of time between January 2, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Russian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Russia for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Russia maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Russia, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
AI-Generated Analysis
Last updated: Nov 30, 2025 22:09
This market concerns Assad leaves Russia before 2026?. Current market sentiment suggests Yes is less likely with a 2.9% probability.
Key Factors
- Market sentiment and trader behavior
- Recent news and developments
- Historical patterns in similar events
Discussion
Sarah Chen•2 hours ago
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
12
Mike Johnson•1 hour ago
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
3
Alex Rivera•5 hours ago
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
8
Emma Davis•1 day ago
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
15
📊 Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
30 Days Left
December 31, 2025 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago
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