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Data from Polymarket & Kalshi

Live Data

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? - PredictPedia | PredictPedia

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Polymarket Markets
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

POLYMARKETactiveOther

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Total Volume

$1.15M

Liquidity

$55.44K

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Current Odds

Yes

4.0%

▼ -0.3% 24H

Price Changes

1w

-0.8%

1m

+0.5%

Order Book

Best Bid

3.9¢

Best Ask

4.2¢

Spread

0.3¢

Volume: $574.85K

No

96.0%

▼ -0.3% 24H

Price Changes

1w

-0.8%

1m

+0.5%

Volume: $574.85K

Trade on Polymarket

Price History

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Current

54.1%

Change

+6.7%

(+14.1%)

High

54.1%

Low

44.2%

Demo data - Connect API for real historical prices

AI-Generated Analysis

Last updated: Nov 06, 2025 03:16

This market concerns Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. Current market sentiment suggests Yes is less likely with a 4.0% probability.

Key Factors

Market sentiment and trader behavior
Recent news and developments
Historical patterns in similar events
Expert opinions and analysis

Historical Context

Markets in the Other category have shown varied results historically. This specific event has 1,149,702.602 in trading volume.

Related Events

Similar events in this category
Connected political/economic developments
Related prediction markets

AI-generated information for research purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.

Related News

Mock News SourceNov 06, 2025

Latest developments regarding: Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This is a mock news article about Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. In production, this would show real news from News API.

Read Full Article

Mock News SourceNov 06, 2025

Latest developments regarding: Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This is a mock news article about Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. In production, this would show real news from News API.

Read Full Article

Social Discussion

Market Analyst

@marketanalyst·Nov 06

Interesting developments on Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions

Discussion

3 Comments

U

Be respectful and constructive

Sarah Chen

Sarah Chen•2 hours ago

Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.

12

Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson•1 hour ago

Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?

3

Alex Rivera

Alex Rivera•5 hours ago

The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.

8

Emma Davis

Emma Davis•1 day ago

Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.

15

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polymarketOther

Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are 8 or more cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

Mock News SourceNov 06, 2025

Latest developments regarding: Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This is a mock news article about Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. In production, this would show real news from News API.

Read Full Article

Mock News SourceNov 06, 2025

Latest developments regarding: Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This is a mock news article about Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. In production, this would show real news from News API.

Read Full Article

Mock News SourceNov 05, 2025

Latest developments regarding: Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

This is a mock news article about Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. In production, this would show real news from News API.

Read Full Article

News articles are automatically aggregated and may not reflect the latest developments

86

Prediction Expert

Prediction Expert

@predictionexpert·Nov 06

Interesting developments on Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. The market is showing significant movement. #markets

Trading Insights

Trading Insights

@tradinginsights·Nov 05

Interesting developments on Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions

Market Watch

@marketwatch·Nov 05

Interesting developments on Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. The market is showing significant movement. #markets

Data Scientist

@datascientist·Nov 05

Interesting developments on Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions

Social posts are automatically aggregated and may not reflect the latest discussions

100.0%

No

Volume

$2.2M

Ends

Dec 10

View Market

polymarketOther

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 7 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 7 rate cuts by then. For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 8 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

polymarketOther

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 4 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 4 rate cuts by then. For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 5 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 3 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 3 rate cuts by then. Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 4 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 2 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 2 rate cuts by then. For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 3 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

polymarketOther

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 6 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 6 rate cuts by then. For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 7 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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