deadline.comNov 26, 2025
‘Avatar: Fire And Ash’ Lights Up On Tracking With $110M+ Opening Projection – Box Office
‘Avatar: Fire And Ash’ Lights Up On Tracking With $110M+ Opening Projection – Box Office deadline.com
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Market Performance
activeOther
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Avatar: Fire and Ash'(Avatar 3) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Total Volume
$3.17M
Liquidity
$285.87K
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Current Odds
Yes
3.3%
▼1.3% (24h)
Volume
$1.59M
Best Bid
3.1¢
Best Ask
3.4¢
No
96.8%
▼1.3% (24h)
Volume
$1.59M
Price History
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Demo data - Connect API for real historical prices
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2025
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreResolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Avatar: Fire and Ash'(Avatar 3) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
AI-Generated Analysis
Last updated: Nov 30, 2025 22:09
This market concerns Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?. Current market sentiment suggests Yes is less likely with a 3.3% probability.
Key Factors
- Market sentiment and trader behavior
- Recent news and developments
- Historical patterns in similar events
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Discussion
Sarah Chen•2 hours ago
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
12
Mike Johnson•1 hour ago
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
3
Alex Rivera•5 hours ago
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
8
Emma Davis•1 day ago
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
15
📊 Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
30 Days Left
December 31, 2025 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago
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