$15 Billion Bitcoin Seizure Exposes Challenges For U.S. Crypto Reserve Strategy
$15 Billion Bitcoin Seizure Exposes Challenges For U.S. Crypto Reserve Strategy Forbes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 1, 2025, ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
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Learn moreThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 1, 2025, ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Last updated: Nov 30, 2025 22:10
This market concerns US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?. Current market sentiment suggests Yes is less likely with a 3.0% probability.
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
Markets in the Other category have shown varied results historically. This specific event has 4,993,667.005 in trading volume.
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