PolymarketOct 11, 2025
Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Co...
Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Co... Polymarket
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Market Performance
activeOther
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Total Volume
$1.55M
Liquidity
$54.91K
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Current Odds
Yes
90.5%
▲1.0% (24h)
Volume
$773.09K
Best Bid
90.0¢
Best Ask
91.0¢
No
9.5%
▲1.0% (24h)
Volume
$773.09K
Price History
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Demo data - Connect API for real historical prices
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2025
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreResolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
AI-Generated Analysis
Last updated: Nov 30, 2025 22:08
This market concerns Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. Current market sentiment suggests Yes is more likely with a 90.5% probability.
Key Factors
- Market sentiment and trader behavior
- Recent news and developments
- Historical patterns in similar events
- Expert opinions and analysis
Historical Context
Markets in the Other category have shown varied results historically. This specific event has 1,546,171.007 in trading volume.
Related Events
- Similar events in this category
- Connected political/economic developments
- Related prediction markets
AI-generated information for research purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
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Discussion
Sarah Chen•2 hours ago
Really interesting market dynamics here. The recent polling data suggests a shift in sentiment that could significantly impact these odds.
12
Mike Johnson•1 hour ago
Agreed! I noticed the same trend. Do you have sources for that polling data?
3
Alex Rivera•5 hours ago
The liquidity on this market is surprisingly high. Good for getting fills without slippage.
8
Emma Davis•1 day ago
Anyone else think the YES side is undervalued right now? The fundamentals seem strong.
15
📊 Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
30 Days Left
December 31, 2025 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago
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Market Analyst
@marketanalyst·Nov 30
Interesting developments on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions
17
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93
Prediction Expert
@predictionexpert·Nov 30
Interesting developments on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. The market is showing significant movement. #markets
0
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77
Trading Insights
@tradinginsights·Nov 30
Interesting developments on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions
6
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50
Market Watch
@marketwatch·Nov 30
Interesting developments on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. The market is showing significant movement. #markets
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21
Data Scientist
@datascientist·Nov 30
Interesting developments on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?. The market is showing significant movement. #predictions
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