#Definition
An Announcer Market is a prediction market that resolves based on what is officially announced or stated, rather than on the underlying factual outcome. These markets track announcements themselves as the event, not whether the announced information is true or later changes.
#Examples
- "Will the Fed announce a rate hike?" (resolves on announcement, not actual implementation)
- "Will Apple announce iPhone 16 at September event?" (resolves on announcement, not release date)
- "Will candidate concede election by midnight?" (resolves on concession statement)
#Key Distinction
Announcer markets resolve on the announcement Outcome markets resolve on the actual result
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