What is the current price for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 85.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

There are 20 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Name: How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?
Start: 2026-10-31T11:22:37.172Z
End: 2026-11-30T11:22:37.172Z

Part of: How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

By Nov 6, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 6, 2026?

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All Markets(20)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 60.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 57.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 54.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 51.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% by Nov 6, 2026?	Yes 48.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (20)

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome60.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome57.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome51.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome48.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome45.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome42.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome39.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome37.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome34.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome31.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome29.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome26.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome25.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome23.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome21.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome19.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome17.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome16.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Nov 6, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 30, 2026 and Nov 6, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 08, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 6, 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (20)

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