Browse prediction markets

PM $719.46M · K 77.02M contracts

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 20.1%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.3%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 12.7%Rules differK Yes 7.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

F1 Drivers Champion

PM $205.00M · K 9.78M contracts

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 99.7%Rules differK Yes 99%

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will George Russell win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Lewis Hamilton win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC

PM Yes 43.3%Review neededK Yes 49.5%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 15.5%Review neededK Yes 15.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 14.3%Review neededK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?Yes 83.1%

Pro Baseball Champion

K 22.05M contracts

Will Tampa Bay win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?Yes 17.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2028 UTC

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 40.5%

Netanyahu out by...?

PM $124.65M

PM $105.65M · K 26.13M contracts

PolymarketKalshiCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 16.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11%

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $50000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 8.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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10 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Austin Smotherman winsYes 51.5%

Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner

K 21.81M contracts

Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Seamus Power winsYes 48%

Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Zecheng Dou winsYes <0.1%

+114 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC Championship?Yes 22%

AFC Championship Winner

K 13.06M contracts

Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC Championship?Yes 18.5%

Will Jacksonville win the Pro Football AFC Championship?Yes 12.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC

PM $98.86M · K 5.82M contracts

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 75.4%Rules differK Yes 83%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 26%

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Kalshi: Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 5.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

Ethereum price at the end of 2026

K 12.27M contracts

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (2,250 to 2,499.99)Yes 17.8%

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (2,000 to 2,249.99)Yes 16.2%

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027? (2,500 to 2,749.99)Yes 16%

+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes 8.5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $76.69M

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 0.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs San FranciscoYes 6%

Pro Football Championship Game Matchup

K 11.34M contracts

2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs San FranciscoYes 6%

2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Jacksonville vs San FranciscoYes 3%

+253 moreNext deadline Feb 21, 2027 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18.5%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

PM $75.48M

PM $75.20M · K 34.10M contracts

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Kalshi: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 1.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

S&P close price end of 2026?

K 8.08M contracts

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 21%

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 14.5%

Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 13.5%

+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

PM $70.26M · K 24.65M contracts

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.7%Rules differK Yes 68.5%

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 3 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.7%Rules differK Yes 98.5%

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Kalshi: Harry Kane: Top 5 in the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or?

Related contracts

PM Yes 99.7%Rules differK Yes 99.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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225 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

K 7.22M contracts

Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 38.5%

Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 17.5%

Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 11.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will New York G win the Pro Football NFC East Division?Yes 39.5%

NFC East Division Winner

K 5.95M contracts

Will Dallas win the Pro Football NFC East Division?Yes 37.5%

Will Washington win the Pro Football NFC East Division?Yes 11%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiSports

2027 Pro Football Champion

PM $69.61M · K 203.55M contracts

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 13.6%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 10.4%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

32 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

PM $66.88M · K 16.13M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 94.5%Rules differK Yes 93.5%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Will Carnell Tate win the Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes 19.5%

Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner?

K 5.68M contracts

Will Fernando Mendoza win the Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes 15.5%

Will KC Concepcion win the Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes 12.5%

+37 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC

Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?Yes 89.5%

NASCAR Cup Series Champion

K 5.62M contracts

Will Denny Hamlin be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?Yes 5.5%

Will Christopher Bell be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?Yes 2.5%

+32 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

PolymarketCulture

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

PM $66.70M

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.3%

Will Arsenal win the English Premier League?Yes 66.5%

English Premier League Champion

K 5.59M contracts

Will Manchester City win the English Premier League?Yes 17.5%

Will Liverpool win the English Premier League?Yes 8%

+17 moreNext deadline Jun 13, 2027 UTC

PolymarketSports

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

PM $61.47M

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes 21.5%

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes 17.5%

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes 13.5%

+33 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC

Will Todd Monken win the Coach of the Year?Yes 22.5%

Coach of the Year Winner?

K 5.51M contracts

Will John Harbaugh win the Coach of the Year?Yes 21.5%

Will Kevin O'Connell win the Coach of the Year?Yes 13.5%

+30 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

PM $54.84M · K 11.09M contracts

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 94.8%

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 1 time?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 4%

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PM $53.73M · K 126.8K contracts

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Kalshi: Will Gadi Eisenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 53.9%Rules differK Yes 57.5%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 11.3%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 10.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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9 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

K 5.47M contracts

Will the Republican Party have fewer than 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 36.5%

Will the Republican Party win 198-202 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 15.5%

Will the Republican Party win 193-197 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 14.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will Yordan Álvarez win AL MVP?Yes 96.5%

AL MVP Winner

K 5.40M contracts

Will Cam Schlittler win AL MVP?Yes 1.5%

Will Ceddanne Rafaela win AL MVP?Yes 0.5%

+46 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketSports

MLB World Series Champion 2026

PM $45.92M

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes 83.4%

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes 16.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Senate winner?

K 5.16M contracts

Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 79.5%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?Yes 20.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 1.8%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

PM $45.02M

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 30500 and 30999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8%

KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

K 5.08M contracts

Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29500 and 29999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 8%

Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 7.5%

+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes 56.5%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

PM $42.74M

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.6%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PM $42.50M · K 22.26M contracts

California Governor Election Winner

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 96.3%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Barcelona win the Champions League?Yes 20.5%

Champions League Winner

K 4.98M contracts

Will PSG win the Champions League?Yes 19%

Will Bayern Munich win the Champions League?Yes 13.5%

+33 moreNext deadline Jun 19, 2027 UTC

Will Colorado Avalanche win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?Yes 10%

2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals Winner

K 4.90M contracts

Will Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?Yes 9.5%

Will Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?Yes 9.5%

+29 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2029 UTC

PolymarketWorld

Iran leader end of 2026?

PM $40.49M

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 84.5%

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 5%

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 2.4%

+27 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?

K 4.77M contracts

Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes 99.9%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

PM $39.27M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes 96.6%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 89.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

PM $37.79M · K 55.85M contracts

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Kalshi: Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 63.5%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Kalshi: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 0.7%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Kalshi: Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.9%Rules differK Yes 26.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the Offensive Player of the Year?Yes 28%

Offensive Player of the Year Winner?

K 4.71M contracts

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Offensive Player of the Year?Yes 25%

Will Kenneth Walker win the Offensive Player of the Year?Yes 22.5%

+66 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2028 UTC

PM $35.84M · K 5.19M contracts

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Trump buy Greenland? (Before 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 2.2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC