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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 13, 2026?

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Event Group
EventKALSHI

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 13, 2026?

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 13, 2026?
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Vol

8.2K contracts

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Markets

30

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 13, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(30)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 13, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Nov 13, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Nov 13, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Nov 13, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% by Nov 13, 2026?
Yes 99.5%

Event Overview

By Nov 13, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (30)

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KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume551.83 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume650 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume607 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume240 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume840.57 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume514.54 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume750.74 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume294.51 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume515.6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome86.0%
Yes
Volume627.13 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome85.0%
Yes
Volume1.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome81.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome81.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume16 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.0%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome80.0%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome67.5%
Yes
Volume199 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome58.0%
Yes
Volume504.97 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome28.0%
Yes
Volume217.26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome22.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome18.5%
Yes
Volume209 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Nov 13, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Nov 13, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 6, 2026 and Nov 13, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 15, 2026
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