What is the current price for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 93.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?"?

There are 20 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $15K.

BackKKALSHI

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Vol14.9K contracts

Markets20

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Name: How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
Start: 2026-10-27T18:14:26.238Z
End: 2026-11-26T18:14:26.238Z

Part of: How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

By Oct 30, 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

VolTotal Volume

14.9K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Vol

14.9K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(20)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?	Yes 87.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Oct 30, 2026?	Yes 66.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Oct 30, 2026?	Yes 53.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% by Oct 30, 2026?	Yes 48.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?	Yes 38.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (20)

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KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome87.5%

Yes

Volume436.4 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome66.5%

Yes

Volume2.3K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome53.5%

Yes

Volume2.0K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome48.5%

Yes

Volume989.86 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome38.0%

Yes

Volume330.43 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome32.5%

Yes

Volume1.8K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome29.0%

Yes

Volume1.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome19.5%

Yes

Volume303 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome17.5%

Yes

Volume110 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume162 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume1.0K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume1.0K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume412 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume426 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome7.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume746.3 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume1.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% by Oct 30, 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on any business day between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 23, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume200 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 01, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (20)

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