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US 10Y Treasury yield at 3:00pm ET?

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US 10Y Treasury yield at 3:00pm ET?

US 10Y Treasury yield at 3:00pm ET?
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Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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18 markets tracked

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

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All Markets(18)
MarketOutcome price
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?
Yes 50.5%
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?
Yes 50.5%
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?
Yes 50.5%
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?
Yes 49.5%

Event Overview

Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above X at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (18)

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KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.13% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.12% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.11% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.14% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.17% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.16% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.15% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.19% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.18% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.10% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.09% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.08% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.07% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.06% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19 at 3:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 19, 2026 at 3:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details

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