What is the current price for "How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 78.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

There are 24 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $8K.

BackKKALSHI

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Vol8.0K contracts

Markets24

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Name: How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
Start: 2026-11-13T10:31:35.530Z
End: 2026-12-13T10:31:35.530Z

Part of: How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

In Nov 2026 If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above X on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

VolTotal Volume

8.0K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Vol

8.0K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

24 markets tracked

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(24)

Market	Outcome price
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?	Yes 99.5%
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% in Nov 2026?	Yes 99.5%
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% in Nov 2026?	Yes 99.5%
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% in Nov 2026?	Yes 99.5%
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% in Nov 2026?	Yes 99.5%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (24)

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KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume525 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume400 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume682.72 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume400 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume412 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume212 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume20 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome99.5%

Yes

Volume200 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome96.0%

Yes

Volume642.25 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome93.0%

Yes

Volume539 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome87.5%

Yes

Volume531.4 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome87.5%

Yes

Volume311 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome81.5%

Yes

Volume553 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome73.0%

Yes

Volume10 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome54.5%

Yes

Volume600 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome49.5%

Yes

Volume40 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome44.0%

Yes

Volume827 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome40.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome39.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome34.5%

Yes

Volume379 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome33.5%

Yes

Volume205 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome33.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome31.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

KALSHIEconomics

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% in Nov 2026?

If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

Yes outcome21.5%

Yes

Volume535.94 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateDec 01, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

How high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% in Nov 2026?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (24)

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