Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.25% on Jan 28 at 8:45am ET?
If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.25% at Jan 28, 2027 at 8:45am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For an 8:45am ET observation, use the 8:44am candle, covering 8:44:00am up to but excluding 8:45:00am ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Pyth Data Association. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. The economic event named in the title provides context. The published observation date and time govern; a delayed or rescheduled economic release does not automatically change that observation time.
