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US 2Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?

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US 2Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?

US 2Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?
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Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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16 markets tracked

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

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All Markets(16)
MarketOutcome price
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Yes 50.0%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?
Yes 50.0%

Event Overview

Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above X at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (16)

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KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.77% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.76% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.75% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.74% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.73% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.72% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.71% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.70% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.69% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.80% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.79% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.78% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.68% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 19 at 9:00am ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.67% at Oct 19, 2026 at 9:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details

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