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30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

Event Group
EventKALSHI

30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes
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Markets

1

Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

30-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
30-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?
Yes 50.0%

Event Overview

Oct 19 - 2:00PM EDT to 2:15PM EDT If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.

Market Resolution Rules

If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (1)

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CLOSING SOON
30-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?

30-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?

If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026 is at least the opening target yield, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 2:15 PM EDT on Oct 19, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 26, 2026
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