
Will the Pyth 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
If the Pyth security yield for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond is above 5.34% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.































