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US 5Y Treasury yield at 1:00pm ET?

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US 5Y Treasury yield at 1:00pm ET?

US 5Y Treasury yield at 1:00pm ET?
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Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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33 markets tracked

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

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All Markets(33)
MarketOutcome price
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
Yes 99.5%
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
Yes 99.5%
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
Yes 99.5%
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
Yes 97.0%
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?
Yes 96.5%

Event Overview

Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above X at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (33)

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KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.83% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.84% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.85% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.86% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.87% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.88% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.89% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome90.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.90% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome75.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.91% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.13% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.12% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.11% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.10% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.09% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.08% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.07% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.06% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

Will the Pyth 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 15 at 1:00pm ET?

If the Pyth security yield for the 5-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 15, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details

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