What is the current price for "AI capability growth this year?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 93.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "AI capability growth this year?"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "AI capability growth this year?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $11K.

AI capability growth this year?

Name: AI capability growth this year?
Start: 2026-01-16T14:01:04.771Z
End: 2026-02-15T14:01:04.771Z

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jan 1, 2027

kalshi

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All Markets(6)

Market	Price
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jan 1, 2027	94%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027	61%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027	38%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027	21%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027	13%

Markets (6)

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KALSHISports

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1500 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.