What is the current price for "AI capability growth this year?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 93.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "AI capability growth this year?"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "AI capability growth this year?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

AI capability growth this year?

Name: AI capability growth this year?
Start: 2026-04-18T17:32:03.493Z
End: 2026-05-18T17:32:03.493Z

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

kalshi

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All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027	58%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027	30%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027	16%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027	10%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027	7%

Markets (5)

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KALSHISports

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.