What is the current price for "AI capability growth this year?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 56.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "AI capability growth this year?"?

There are 8 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "AI capability growth this year?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

BackKKALSHI

AI capability growth this year?

Yes44%

Vol$0.00

Markets8

44%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIScience and Technology

AI capability growth this year?

Name: AI capability growth this year?
Start: 2026-07-10T08:08:31.046Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:08:31.046Z

Part of: AI capability growth this year?

Before 2027 If an AI model has a score of at least X before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET. If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

YesLeading Yes Probability

44%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Markets

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AI capability growth this year?

Yes

44%

Vol

$0.00

Markets

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Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(8)

Market	Price
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027	44%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027	26%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027	22%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027	18%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027	8%

Markets (8)

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KALSHISports

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027

If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET.