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What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026?

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026?
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156.55 contracts

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Markets

10

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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

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All Markets(10)
MarketOutcome price
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)
Yes 93.0%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)
Yes 82.0%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)
Yes 70.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)
Yes 57.0%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)
Yes 45.5%

Event Overview

Worldwide on Nov 1, 2026 If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is X or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude, Mw, and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (10)

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KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome82.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume26.11 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome57.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume42.14 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome34.5%
Yes
Volume11.32 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume12.34 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome20.5%
Yes
Volume22.2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome16.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 1, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 1, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome13.5%
Yes
Volume42.44 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details

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