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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026?

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026?
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3.2K contracts

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10

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Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

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All Markets(10)
MarketOutcome price
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)
Yes 89.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)
Yes 76.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)
Yes 60.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)
Yes 45.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)
Yes 37.5%

Event Overview

Worldwide on Oct 27, 2026 If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is X or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude, Mw, and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (10)

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KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome89.5%
Yes
Volume318.98 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome76.5%
Yes
Volume205.06 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome60.5%
Yes
Volume423.27 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 5.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume280.63 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume346.68 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume328.32 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume288.6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome12.0%
Yes
Volume217.27 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume379.65 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 27, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume454.73 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 26, 2026
View Details

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