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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026?

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026?

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026?
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Vol

2.8K contracts

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Markets

5

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)
Yes 17.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)
Yes 11.0%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)
Yes 9.0%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)
Yes 3.5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)
Yes 3.5%

Event Overview

Worldwide on Oct 28, 2026 If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is X or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude, Mw, and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (5)

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KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.2)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome17.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 27, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.4)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume443.18 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 27, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.6)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome9.0%
Yes
Volume350.13 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 27, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 7.0)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume566.05 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 27, 2026
View Details
KALSHIClimate
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 28, 2026? (Magnitude of at least 6.8)

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 28, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once USGS has reviewed and finalized all earthquakes from the Period and the highest qualifying magnitude is known.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume329.62 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 27, 2026
View Details

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