What is the current price for "Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 82.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?"?

There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $3K.

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

Name: Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
Start: 2026-02-22T11:23:39.092Z
End: 2026-03-24T11:23:39.092Z

Market Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?	82%
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?	54%

Markets (2)

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KALSHITech

Will Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?

If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?

If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official