Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?

Next by-election If X wins the next Brantford-Brant South federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. X party's candidate is the candidate registered with Elections Canada under that party's name, or under a registered party it merges into; an independent or other-party candidate a party backs does not count. X candidate registered under a listed party's own name counts only for that party; if a candidate would otherwise count for more than one listed party through a merger, the candi