What is the current price for "How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 53.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $1K.

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How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIPolitics

How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

Name: How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?
Start: 2026-11-08T18:34:01.979Z
End: 2026-12-08T18:34:01.979Z

Part of: How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

Before Jan 1, 2028 If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least X after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. X person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. X person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. X leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

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How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

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Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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12 markets tracked

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 2 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(12)

Market	Outcome price
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 2 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 97.0%
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 3 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 95.5%
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 4 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 90.0%
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 5 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 85.0%
Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 78.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 2 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 2 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome97.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 3 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 3 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome95.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 4 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 4 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome90.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 5 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 5 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome85.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome78.0%

Yes

Volume200.06 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 7 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 7 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome70.0%

Yes

Volume267.95 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 8 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 8 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome61.0%

Yes

Volume200 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 9 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 9 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome47.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 10 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 10 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome34.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 11 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 11 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome24.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 12 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 12 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome17.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 13 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

If the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave is at least 13 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Each person who leaves one of these positions, or announces they will leave it, after Issuance counts once. A person’s announcement of their intent to leave and their departure count as one occurrence, at the earlier of the two. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. A person who begins serving in one of these positions after Issuance, including Stephen Miller as Chief of Staff, counts if they later leave it. Moving directly from one of these positions to another does not count. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Susie Wiles’ departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026, occurred before Issuance and does not count.

Yes outcome11.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateApr 01, 2028

View Details

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How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

How many Trump Cabinet members will leave before 2028?

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Will the number of Trump Cabinet members who leave or announce they will leave be at least 2 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028?

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