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When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

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When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?

When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
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427.29 contracts

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8

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Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jun 2027?

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All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jun 2027?
Yes 97.0%
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jul 2027?
Yes 97.0%
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before May 2027?
Yes 96.5%
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Apr 2027?
Yes 96.5%
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Mar 2027?
Yes 95.5%

Event Overview

In 2027 If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm X Y 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Markets (8)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jun 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jun 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jul 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jul 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before May 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before May 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Apr 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMay 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Apr 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Apr 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Mar 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Mar 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Mar 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Feb 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Feb 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Feb 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Jan 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jan 2027?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Jan 2027?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume27.29 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from Nov 6, 2026 at 3pm EST to Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome71.5%
Yes
Volume400 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details

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