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Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October

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EventKALSHI

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October
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Vol

1.6K contracts

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Markets

7

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Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.30?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.30?
Yes 90.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.20?
Yes 79.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.10?
Yes 62.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.00?
Yes 42.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.10?
Yes 25.5%

Event Overview

October 2026 If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index, “CFNAI”, refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average, “CFNAI-MA3”, or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (7)

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KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.30?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.30?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above -0.30, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome90.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.20?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.20?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above -0.20, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome79.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.10?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.10?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above -0.10, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome62.5%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.00?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.00?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above 0.00, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome42.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.10?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.10?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above 0.10, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.20?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.20?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above 0.20, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.30?

Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above 0.30?

If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 is above 0.30, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index. This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 30, 2026
View Details

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