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2028 New York Democratic primary winner?

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2028 New York Democratic primary winner?

2028 New York Democratic primary winner?
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Market snapshot: Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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12 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

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All Markets(12)
MarketOutcome price
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?
Yes 26.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?
Yes 13.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?
Yes 13.2%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?
Yes 5.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?
Yes 5.0%

Event Overview

NY If X wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York, the earlier one if two allocate the same number. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome13.3%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome13.2%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Kamala Harris wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.8%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Andy Beshear wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.7%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Mark Kelly wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.3%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will James Talarico win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will James Talarico win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If James Talarico wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.2%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Raphael Warnock wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome3.8%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 New York Democratic primary?

If Wes Moore wins the 2028 New York Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Democratic national convention delegates from New York (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome3.7%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

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