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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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4.74M contracts

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Markets

10

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Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?

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All Markets(10)
MarketOutcome price
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes 12.5%
Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes 12.5%
Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?
Yes 8.1%

Event Overview

On Feb 1, 2027 If the Democratic Party has X Y Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them, e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (10)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome34.5%
Yes
Volume1.38M contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume642.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 51 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume315.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 50 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume231.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 49 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome8.1%
Yes
Volume288.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 48 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome6.8%
Yes
Volume264.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 47 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 47 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume370.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume568.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome2.7%
Yes
Volume338.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?

Will the Democratic Party hold 46 seats in the 120th Congress?

If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

Yes outcome2.6%
Yes
Volume339.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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