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State of the economy at the end of 2026

Event Group
EventKALSHICross-Platform

State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026
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Vol

158.4K contracts

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Markets

4

Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Overheating)

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Overheating)
Yes 94.2%
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Soft landing)
Yes 4.1%
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Stagflation)
Yes 1.6%
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Slack / disinflation)
Yes 0.3%

Event Overview

In Dec 2026 In Dec 2026 The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (4)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Overheating)

State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Overheating)

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Yes outcome94.2%
Yes
Volume83.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 14, 2027
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Soft landing)

State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Soft landing)

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Yes outcome4.1%
Yes
Volume38.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 14, 2027
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Stagflation)

State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Stagflation)

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Yes outcome1.6%
Yes
Volume31.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 14, 2027
View Details
KALSHISports
State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Slack / disinflation)

State of the economy at the end of 2026? (Slack / disinflation)

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.

Yes outcome0.3%
Yes
Volume5.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 14, 2027
View Details

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