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US crude oil exports in November

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EventKALSHI

US crude oil exports in November

US crude oil exports in November
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5

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Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?
Yes 70.5%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?
Yes 39.5%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?
Yes 15.5%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.5 million barrels/day?
Yes 4.5%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 6.0 million barrels/day?
Yes 1.5%

Event Overview

November 2026 If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above X million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series, MCREXUS2, for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
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Markets (5)

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KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 05, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 4.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 05, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 5.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 05, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.5 million barrels/day?

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.5 million barrels/day?

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 5.5 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 05, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 6.0 million barrels/day?

Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 6.0 million barrels/day?

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above 6.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 05, 2027
View Details

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