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ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (November 2026)

Event Group
EventKALSHI

ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (November 2026)

ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (November 2026)
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Vol

0 contracts

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Markets

7

Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $20/MWh in Nov 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $20/MWh in Nov 2026?
Yes 95.0%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $25/MWh in Nov 2026?
Yes 87.0%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh in Nov 2026?
Yes 63.0%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $35/MWh in Nov 2026?
Yes 37.0%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $45/MWh in Nov 2026?
Yes 13.0%

Event Overview

November 2026 · All-hours real-time average ($/MWh) If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above X in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices, NP6-905-CD. Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (7)

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KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $20/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $20/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $25/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $25/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $25/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome87.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $30/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome63.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $35/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $35/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $35/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome37.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $45/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $45/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $45/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $60/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $60/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $60/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $100/MWh in Nov 2026?

ERCOT North Hub average power price above $100/MWh in Nov 2026?

If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $100/MWh in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Period: November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to December 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: December 1, 2026 at 12:59 AM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. Early close condition: This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 07, 2026
View Details

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