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When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?

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When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?

When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?
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Vol

95.74 contracts

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Markets

4

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Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 94.0%
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jul 1, 2027?
Yes 80.0%
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Apr 1, 2027?
Yes 55.0%
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Mar 1, 2027?
Yes 39.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 1, 2028 If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A, explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B, based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C, presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. X pocket veto counts. X veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (4)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jan 1, 2028?

If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A pocket veto counts. A veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Jul 1, 2027?

If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A pocket veto counts. A veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome80.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Apr 1, 2027?

If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A pocket veto counts. A veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome55.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Mar 1, 2027?

Will Trump veto a 120th Congress bill before Mar 1, 2027?

If Trump's veto of a 120th Congress bill or joint resolution is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A pocket veto counts. A veto of a bill or joint resolution passed by the 119th Congress does NOT count, even if made on or after Jan 3, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume95.74 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 08, 2027
View Details

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