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Which G7 leader will leave office next?

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EventKALSHI

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Which G7 leader will leave office next?
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Vol

27.9K contracts

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Markets

7

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Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will President of France be the first to leave office?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will President of France be the first to leave office?
Yes 71.0%
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?
Yes 14.5%
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?
Yes 8.5%
Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?
Yes 2.5%
Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?
Yes 2.0%

Event Overview

G7 Leaders If the individual holding the title X time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will President of France be the first to leave office?

Will President of France be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome71.0%
Yes
Volume3.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?

Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of Chancellor of Germany at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume9.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?

Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Italy at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume2.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?

Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?

Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume1.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office?

Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume1.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?

Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?

If the individual holding the title of President of the United States at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if any leader in the set leaves office.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume8.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2045
View Details

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