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Georgia Senate: margin of victory

Event Group
EventKALSHI
Georgia Senate: margin of victory
Georgia Senate: margin of victory
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Vol

55.5K contracts

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Markets

11

Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 18% and 20%?

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All Markets(11)
MarketOutcome price
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 18% and 20%?
Yes 49.0%
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 16% and 18%?
Yes 47.5%
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 20%?
Yes 1.5%
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 1.0%
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 8% and 10%?
Yes 0.5%

Event Overview

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Market Resolution Rules

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (11)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 18% and 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 18% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 18% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome49.0%
Yes
Volume7.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 16% and 18%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 16% and 18%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 16% to 18%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 20%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is at or above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume10.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume6.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 8% and 10%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume4.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 6% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume2.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume2.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume6.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 14% and 16%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 14% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume4.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 12% and 14%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 12% and 14%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume3.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 10% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 10% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume5.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details

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