What is the current price for "Kansas Senate: margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Kansas Senate: margin of victory"?

There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Kansas Senate: margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $18K.

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Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Vol17.6K contracts

Markets11

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Name: Kansas Senate: margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-28T13:27:40.551Z
End: 2026-11-27T13:27:40.551Z

Part of: Kansas Senate: margin of victory

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Kansas Senate: margin of victory

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17.6K contracts

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Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Outcome price
Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 18.5%
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?	Yes 17.0%
Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 4% and 6%?	Yes 12.5%
Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 2% and 4%?	Yes 12.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume7.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome17.0%

Yes

Volume5.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume1.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.5%

Yes

Volume638.51 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume1.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume276 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume276 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 8% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume276 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume276 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 10%?

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roger Marshall runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume286.69 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 8%?

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume276 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 03, 2027

View Details

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Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Kansas Senate: margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 0% and 2%?

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Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

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Markets (11)

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