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Maine Senate: margin of victory

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Maine Senate: margin of victory

Maine Senate: margin of victory
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9.8K contracts

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10

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Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?

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All Markets(10)
MarketOutcome price
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 18.0%
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?
Yes 15.0%
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?
Yes 14.0%
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?
Yes 12.5%
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 4% and 6%?
Yes 12.0%

Event Overview

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is X Y Z 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Markets (10)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome18.0%
Yes
Volume973.93 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume49.77 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?

Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 0% and 2%?

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome14.0%
Yes
Volume3.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 2% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume870.88 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome12.0%
Yes
Volume11.22 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 6% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume484.91 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8%?

If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Troy Jackson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses. If Troy Jackson wins, the margin will be positive; if Troy Jackson loses, the margin will be negative; if Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome9.0%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 4% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 4% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume738.98 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 6% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be between 6% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8%?

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details

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