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Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027

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EventKALSHI

Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027

Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027
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Vol

18 contracts

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Markets

5

Trade

Market snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.4 million?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.4 million?
Yes 85.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.6 million?
Yes 70.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.8 million?
Yes 44.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.0 million?
Yes 19.5%
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.2 million?
Yes 8.5%

Event Overview

2027 If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (5)

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KALSHITech
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.4 million?

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.4 million?

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above 9.4 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome85.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.6 million?

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.6 million?

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above 9.6 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.8 million?

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 9.8 million?

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above 9.8 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome44.5%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.0 million?

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.0 million?

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above 10.0 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome19.5%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHITech
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.2 million?

Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2027 be above 10.2 million?

If Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027 are above 10.2 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2027, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2027 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 07, 2028
View Details

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