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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

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EventKALSHI

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
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Vol

11.5K contracts

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Markets

8

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Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 94.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 78.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 70.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 48.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 30.5%

Event Overview

10/26 - 11/1 If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (8)

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KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume2.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome78.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume4 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume409.51 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume1.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume2.3K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume1.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume2.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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