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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

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EventKALSHI

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Vol

5.7K contracts

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Markets

8

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Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 92.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 78.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 60.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 39.0%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 18.5%

Event Overview

10/19 - 10/25 If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (8)

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KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome78.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome60.5%
Yes
Volume40 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome39.0%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome18.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome11.5%
Yes
Volume1.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume1.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details

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