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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
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Vol

25.23 contracts

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Markets

9

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Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 75.0%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 62.5%
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 50.0%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 42.0%
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?
Yes 26.5%

Event Overview

11/2 - 11/8 If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (9)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome75.0%
Yes
Volume25.23 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome62.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 23 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 23 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome42.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 27 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 27 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome26.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome18.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome10.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome10.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details

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