
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026?
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.








