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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

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EventKALSHI

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Vol

333.32 contracts

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Markets

7

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Market snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 90.5%
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 69.5%
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 41.0%
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 17.0%
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
Yes 13.5%

Event Overview

10/19 - 10/25 If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above X from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (7)

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KALSHITech
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome90.5%
Yes
Volume333.32 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome69.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome17.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome13.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details
KALSHITech
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 25, 2027
View Details

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