What is the current price for "How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 97.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?"?

There are 18 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

Name: How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?
Start: 2026-11-01T09:39:25.055Z
End: 2026-12-01T09:39:25.055Z

Part of: How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

When the new House convenes in Jan 2029 If the Republican Party holds at least X seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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18 markets tracked

Will Republicans hold at least 175 House seats after the 2028 election?

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All Markets(18)

Market	Outcome price
Will Republicans hold at least 175 House seats after the 2028 election?	Yes 97.0%
Will Republicans hold at least 180 House seats after the 2028 election?	Yes 96.0%
Will Republicans hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?	Yes 94.5%
Will Republicans hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?	Yes 85.0%
Will Republicans hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?	Yes 75.0%

Event Overview

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Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 175 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 175 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome97.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 180 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 180 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 185 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome94.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 190 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome85.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 195 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome75.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 200 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 200 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome65.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 205 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 205 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome55.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 210 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 210 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome45.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 215 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 215 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome35.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 218 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome30.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 220 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 220 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome25.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 225 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 225 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 230 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 230 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome15.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 235 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 235 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome10.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 240 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 240 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome9.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 245 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 245 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome8.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 250 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 250 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Republicans hold at least 255 House seats after the 2028 election?

If the Republican Party holds at least 255 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Republicans will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome6.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateFeb 01, 2029

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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

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Will Republicans hold at least 175 House seats after the 2028 election?

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