Will Jim Jordan announce a run for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress?
If Jim Jordan has announced that they will run for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress in 2027 after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. Standing as a candidate in the House Democratic Caucus or House Republican Conference vote for its Speaker nominee after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. Being placed in nomination for Speaker on the House floor after Issuance counts only if the person accepts it, by publicly stating they are a candidate for Speaker or by voting for themself on any roll call for Speaker. A nomination by another member that the person does not accept does not count. Receiving write-in votes without a nomination does not count. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT count. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in a party's Speaker-nominee vote or accepting a floor nomination after Issuance counts. A person who announces and later withdraws still counts. If a Speaker is elected at the opening of the 120th Congress and this person has not met any of the conditions above by then, the market resolves to No once the Speaker is elected. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
