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Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

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EventKALSHI

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
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Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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7 markets tracked

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

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All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 46.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 43.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 41.0%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 39.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 39.0%

Event Overview

Before Jan 1, 2027 If the President of Israel gives X first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government, the mandate, under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else, including at the request of a majority of Knesset members, does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

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Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome46.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome43.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Naftali Bennett the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Yair Golan the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome39.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Yair Lapid the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?

If the President of Israel gives Avigdor Lieberman the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first person to whom the President of Israel assigns the task of forming a government (the mandate) under section 7 of Basic Law: The Government, following the Oct 27, 2026 Knesset election. The person must be a member of the incoming Knesset. The mandate counts only once the President formally assigns it; party recommendations, reported intentions, and expected assignments do not qualify. Only the first assignment counts. If that person returns the mandate, fails to form a government, or the Knesset rejects the government, a later assignment to anyone else (including at the request of a majority of Knesset members) does not change the result. If the task is assigned to one Knesset member who has agreed to share or rotate the premiership with others, only the member assigned counts. If the first assignment goes to a person not named in this event, or no one is assigned the task before Jan 1, 2027, all markets resolve to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details

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