Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

In 2027 If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Coalition including X then the market resolves to Yes. For presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.