What is the current price for "KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 88.8% probability.

How many markets are available for "KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?"?

There are 13 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

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KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Vol200 contracts

Markets13

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Name: KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?
Start: 2026-11-01T06:02:42.851Z
End: 2026-12-01T06:02:42.851Z

Part of: KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms, KPOW Midterms, ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. X strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations X constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

VolTotal Volume

200 contracts

Markets

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KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Vol

200 contracts

Markets

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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -45.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

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All Markets(13)

Market	Outcome price
Will KPOW Midterms be at least -45.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?	Yes 94.8%
Will KPOW Midterms be at least -40.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?	Yes 76.0%
Will KPOW Midterms be at least -35.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?	Yes 57.0%
Will KPOW Midterms be at least -30.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?	Yes 37.5%
Will KPOW Midterms be at least -25.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?	Yes 34.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (13)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -45.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -45.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome94.8%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -40.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -40.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome76.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -35.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -35.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome57.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -30.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -30.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome37.5%

Yes

Volume200 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -25.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -25.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome34.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -20.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -20.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome30.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -15.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -15.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome26.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -10.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -10.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -5.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least -5.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome19.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least 0.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome14.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least +5.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least +5.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome11.2%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least +10.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least +10.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome7.2%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will KPOW Midterms be at least +15.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

If the 15-minute time-weighted average of the Kalshi American Power Index - Midterms (KPOW Midterms) ending at 12:00 AM EST on November 4, 2026 is at least +15.0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The average is calculated and published by Pyth under the methodology in Appendix B of the KPOW Midterms filing and is used at the precision Pyth publishes it, without rounding. Only trades at or before 12:00 AM EST count, and a price move held by the index's price check counts only once it is accepted. The index runs from -50, Democratic candidates certain to win every weighted race, to +50, Republican candidates certain to win every weighted race. D+ and R+ give the level as a lead: D+20 is -20.0 and R+5 is +5.0. A strike labeled "D+20 or redder" resolves to Yes if the average is at least -20.0, and one labeled "R+5 or redder" if it is at least +5.0. The following do NOT count: Any single published value of the index, including the 30-second updates and the value at 12:00 AM EST Charts, indicative figures and third-party recalculations A constituent market that stops trading, is determined or settles keeps its last accepted price, so a race being called or certified does NOT, by itself, move the index.

Yes outcome4.3%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateNov 11, 2026

View Details

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KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

KPOW Midterms on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Market Price Graph

Will KPOW Midterms be at least -45.0 on Nov 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (13)

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