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How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

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How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?
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52.6K contracts

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9

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Market snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

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All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?
Yes 95.5%
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 25 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?
Yes 95.0%
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 50 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?
Yes 86.0%
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 75 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?
Yes 45.5%
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 100 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?
Yes 19.5%

Event Overview

After Issuance, before Jan 3, 2027 If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least X after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists, appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service, and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

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Markets (9)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 10 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume12.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 25 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 25 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 25 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume3.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 50 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 50 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 50 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome86.0%
Yes
Volume11.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 75 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 75 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 75 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume10.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 100 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 100 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 100 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome19.5%
Yes
Volume5.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 125 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 125 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 125 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome18.5%
Yes
Volume9.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 150 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 150 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 150 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome13.5%
Yes
Volume430.52 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 175 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 175 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 175 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome10.5%
Yes
Volume234 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 200 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

Will the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate be at least 200 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027?

If the number of civilian nominees confirmed by the Senate is at least 200 after Issuance and before the 119th Congress ends on Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each person confirmed by the Senate to a civilian position counts once, including judges, ambassadors and Cabinet-level positions, whether confirmed by roll call vote, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. The following do NOT count: Military appointments and promotions in the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Space Force or Coast Guard Foreign Service lists (appointments and promotions in the Foreign Service), and Public Health Service and NOAA Commissioned Corps appointments and promotions

Yes outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 04, 2027
View Details

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