Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within X to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if